Pammi Brar
RE/MAX Real Estate (Mountain View)
401,9650 HARVEST HILLS BLVD.NE, Calgary, Alberta
P: 403-247-5178F: 403-247-5301
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Friday, January 29, 2010 - How much do your neighbours owe on their mortgage?-globe and mail

One of the economic conundrums of the past year has been the great divergence in the Canadian and U.S. housing markets. While American home prices swooned in 2009, the Canadian market only stumbled before resuming its inexorable climb upward. As Barrie McKenna reported in The Globe and Mail recently, there are two schools of thought as to what’s behind this discrepancy. One suggests that Canada, with its fiscally sound banks, simply avoided the bubble. The other, bruited by David Rosenberg—chief strategist at Toronto-based Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc.—is more pessimistic. His assessment: The Canadian housing market is overvalued, in the range of 15% to 35%. In other words, we are dangerously close to bubbledom.

During the early days of the Great Recession, most commentators focused blame on two culprits: American banks—for underestimating the risk associated with their new-fangled financial instruments—and American consumers. The latter had overextended themselves, the thinking went, first taking on ridiculously large mortgages, and then using their houses as virtual ATMs to finance lavish lifestyles.

If our banks are solid, what of Canadian consumers? Are we so parsimonious—so virtuous—that we can avoid the leverage trap that ensnared so many Americans? In the numbers below, we explore this question. We picked a street in a new development in Toronto, and had our research team pull up buyers’ mortgage information.What we were after was a sense of how homeowners finance their high-flying lives.

Here’s a sample of what we dug up: John and Sarah purchased their detached house in February of 2007 for $1.25 million. Their mortgage rang in at just over $1 million (a five-year term, at 4.9%), with monthly payments of $5,811. In March, 2008, they secured a line of credit for $92,000 (prime plus 5%). A year later, they took out a second mortgage for $975,000 (another five-year term, at 3.8%).

So what to make of this? Are people taking on too much debt? Take a look and see what you think.

No.18
Purchased by Geoffrey (all names have been changed) in April, 2004
Paid: $1,440,059
Mortgage: $1,275,000 (five years, 0.24% below prime)
Monthly payment: $6,555.17
In 2005, Geoffrey took out a second mortgage for $4 million (five years, prime plus 5%), secured by 200-plus acres of property north of Toronto.

No. 24
Purchased by Jin and Lei in January, 2004
Paid: $1,443,956
Mortgage: None

No. 52
Purchased by Isabelle and her husband in September, 2006
Paid: $1,200,894
Mortgage: $1,203,000
Terms: Payable on demand (rate unknown)

 

More on mortgages
posted in News at Fri, 29 Jan 2010 09:55:37 -0700



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